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Energy as a Geopolitical Weapon

justicealliance, May 7, 2025
Strategy
Method
Example
Key Players
Targets
1. Dominating Production & Exports
Control global supply to manipulate prices and availability.
– OPEC+ cuts production to raise oil prices.
– Russia cuts gas to Europe.
Saudi Arabia, Russia, U.S. (shale oil)
EU, China, U.S. (if oil-dependent)
2. Blocking Energy Chokepoints
Militarize or blockade critical shipping routes.
– Iran threatens Strait of Hormuz.
– U.S. could blockade Malacca (China’s oil lifeline).
U.S. Navy, Iran, China
China, EU, Japan
3. Energy Sanctions & Financial Bans
Cut off energy payments (SWIFT) or restrict technology.
– U.S. sanctions on Russian oil.
– China bans rare earth exports.
U.S., China, EU
Russia, Iran, North Korea
4. Creating Dependencies
Make rivals reliant on your energy, then exploit it.
– Europe depended on Russian gas (pre-2022).
– China controls African mines.
Russia, China, Gulf States
EU, India, Japan
5. Green Energy & Tech Dominance
Control renewables, nuclear, or critical minerals (lithium, cobalt).
– China dominates solar panels/batteries.
– U.S. secures Latin American lithium.
China, U.S., EU
Rivals in tech race (e.g., U.S. vs. China)
6. Cyber & Infrastructure Sabotage
Hack pipelines, grids, or refineries to disrupt supply.
– Russia attacks Ukraine’s power grid.
– U.S. Stuxnet virus vs. Iran.
Russia, U.S., Iran
Adversaries’ energy infrastructure
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